2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1990
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,926/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$976/mo
Annual
$11,711/yr
Cap rate
21.12%
Cash-on-cash
52.94%
DSCR
3.36
1% rule
2.44%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#230 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $79k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 4.1% in Barview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WHKQHVD0RTK9D7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29