4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,425 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,191/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,549/yr
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.92%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Geneva City (town): math 27% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 129 in AL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mulkey Elementary School (math 30% / reading 64%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 572 students, 65% FRL); Geneva Middle School (math 23% / reading 47%, grade F, #86 of 257 statewide, top 34%, 293 students, 57% FRL); Geneva High School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 387 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Geneva County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Geneva County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WJ1GMJ78R2DAWP
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29