2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,632 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,375/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$533/mo
Annual
$6,401/yr
Cap rate
14.29%
Cash-on-cash
28.57%
DSCR
2.27
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#432 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Arp ISD (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #400 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Arp El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 473 students, 60% FRL); Arp J H (math 30% / reading 45%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 219 students, 62% FRL); Arp H S (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 293 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
Major: flooring
— The flooring in the interior appears to be carpeted and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls
— The interior walls show signs of wear and tear, with some areas appearing to be in need of repainting or repair.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping and fencing appear to be in poor condition, with overgrown vegetation and a lack of maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WJ8RVMEY0KJAZ7
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29