1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
870 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 271 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,405/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$34
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$892/mo
Annual
$10,709/yr
Cap rate
36.89%
Cash-on-cash
109.27%
DSCR
5.86
1% rule
4.01%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $892 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#325 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Giles County (rural): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #105 of 139 in TN (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Elkton Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Bridgeforth Middle School (math 15% / reading 18%, grade F, #221 of 333 statewide, top 67%, 314 students, 0% FRL); Giles Co High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #237 of 332 statewide, top 75%, 703 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Giles County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Giles County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (49%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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