3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,526/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$346/mo
Annual
$4,152/yr
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.59%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#180 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Abbeville Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 379 students, 82% FRL); Headland Middle School (math 16% / reading 58%, grade F, #73 of 257 statewide, top 29%, 576 students, 47% FRL); Abbeville High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #216 of 305 statewide, top 72%, 305 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29