3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,500 sqft ·
Built 1897
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-895/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.00%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-895/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (18.6% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $130k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#253 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
Deuel School District 19-4 (rural): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #46 of 59 in SD (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clear Lake Elementary - 02 (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #115 of 253 statewide, top 52%, 259 students, 17% FRL); Clear Lake Middle School - 04 (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #110 of 143 statewide, top 80%, 125 students, 14% FRL); Deuel High School - 01 (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #114 of 151 statewide, top 81%, 160 students, 16% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Deuel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WJKXJQ31W5RDBG
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29