2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 2026
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,003/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$310/mo
Annual
$3,715/yr
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.98%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#447 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Sherburne-Earlville Central School District (rural): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #492 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.