4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,202 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,357/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$-487/mo
Annual
$-5,846/yr
Cap rate
4.66%
Cash-on-cash
-5.82%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-487 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (24.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (34.3% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $236k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mckelvey Primary (234 students, 8% FRL); North High (math 35% / reading 70%, grade C-, #89 of 521 statewide, top 17%, 1,074 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $213k; list at $359k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WJYRQGFGRHCECF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29