1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
595 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 122 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,547/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,015
Tax + insurance
−$958
HOA
−$330
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$745
Net cashflow
$-1,501/mo
Annual
$-18,016/yr
Cap rate
3.16%
Cash-on-cash
-11.19%
DSCR
0.50
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$161,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $575k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $358k (37.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $355k (38.3% below list).
It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($506k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $355k (38.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $61k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $58k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$99k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,547/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7470% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-WKBK1JDWK75E9Z
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29