143 Cainwalker Rd

Huger, SC 29450

$449,990D

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,868 sqft · Built 2026 · SingleFamily · Active · 229 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,479/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,360
• Tax + insurance: −$750
• HOA: −$75
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$731
• Net cashflow: $-436/mo
• Annual: $-5,234/yr
• Cap rate: 5.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.15%
• DSCR: 0.82
• 1% rule: 0.77%
• Cash to close: $125,997

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $450k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-436 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $387k (14.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (22.7% below list).
• It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $348k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Berkeley 01 (suburban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #30 of 80 in SC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Cainhoy Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #594 of 597 statewide, top 100%, 154 students, 100% FRL); Philip Simmons Middle (math 31% / reading 48%, grade F, #82 of 229 statewide, top 37%, 428 students, 35% FRL); Philip Simmons High (math 42% / reading 92%, grade B, #73 of 196 statewide, top 41%, 771 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 3,183 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (580 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Berkeley County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.7% in Huger — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $3,479/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.