2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,121 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,001/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$695
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$-35/mo
Annual
$-418/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.13%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$37,100
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-418/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (24.4% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $100k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($916 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#110 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pratt Elementary School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 161 students, 0% FRL); East Bank Middle School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #81 of 109 statewide, top 76%, 254 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 1,220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $115k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WM33S7DV9QQQS6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29