3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,822 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,335/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$-259/mo
Annual
$-3,104/yr
Cap rate
4.66%
Cash-on-cash
-5.83%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (19.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (29.8% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#459 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Maries County R-I (rural): math 20% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #272 of 324 in MO (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Vienna Elem. (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 186 students, 39% FRL); Vienna Middle (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #306 of 391 statewide, top 80%, 93 students, 37% FRL); Vienna High (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 167 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.
Maries County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WMCSZF8EMS1CRA
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29