5 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,275 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,339/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$74
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$381/mo
Annual
$4,572/yr
Cap rate
10.27%
Cash-on-cash
14.20%
DSCR
1.63
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Warrick County School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 249 units permitted in Warrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warrick County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WN2D0Q33047HR7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29