8 bd · 4.8 ba ·
3,075 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,604/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,963
Tax + insurance
−$3,166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,277
Net cashflow
$-803/mo
Annual
$-9,630/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.81%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$531,969
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.90M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-803 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-201/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.78M (6.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.56M (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.87M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.56M (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,604/mo this rent would consume 284% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 6028% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WN5V0E70XE6682
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29