2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,407/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$123/mo
Annual
$1,473/yr
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.29%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Holly Pond Elementary School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 578 students, 71% FRL); Holly Pond High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 278 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.5% in Berlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WN84FM4QD8EPRB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29