2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,395 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,657/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,570
Tax + insurance
−$817
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,188
Net cashflow
$1,083/mo
Annual
$12,997/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.47%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$137,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $490k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $490k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($475k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $475k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#530 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lantana Elementary School (math 30% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 484 students, 79% FRL); Lantana Middle School (math 21% / reading 36%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 801 students, 78% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $134k; list at $490k implies a 266% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $137k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— No visible paint on the street-level image.
Major: exterior siding
— No visible siding on the street-level image.
Major: exterior landscaping
— No visible landscaping on the street-level image.
Major: interior paint
— No interior photos provided, but listing remarks suggest recent renovations which may not align with the condition of the home. Further investigation is needed.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WNDVWJ0H2GJ815
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29