8 Erchles St #8

Rumford, ME 04276

$69,000A-

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,850 sqft · Built 1902 · Townhouse · Active · 56 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,650/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$362
• Tax + insurance: −$115
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$346
• Net cashflow: $827/mo
• Annual: $9,920/yr
• Cap rate: 20.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 51.35%
• DSCR: 3.28
• 1% rule: 2.39%
• Cash to close: $19,320

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $69k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
• It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#39 in ME, #4,030 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D, schools F, amenities F.
• RSU 10 (rural): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #107 of 112 in ME (top 96%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 329 units permitted in Oxford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Oxford County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 5.5% in Rumford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Moderate: kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
• Moderate: bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of updating
• Major: furnace — old and likely inefficient
• Minor: exterior deck — wooden and in need of staining