4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,529 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,564/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$344
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$-157/mo
Annual
$-1,883/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.36%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (21.8% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $156k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in OH, #3,542 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Mount Vernon City (town): math 55% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #321 of 656 in OH (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 195 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Knox County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.0% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WNHHJ93PZ7J6YP
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29