4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,668 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,272/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$595
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$323/mo
Annual
$3,882/yr
Cap rate
9.71%
Cash-on-cash
12.21%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$31,780
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $785 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Louis Public Schools (town): math 19% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #397 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $88k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.5% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WP3DGXF80MCGG5
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29