121 Robert Dr

Cochran, GA 31014

$229,900D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,613 sqft · Built 1978 · SingleFamily · Active · 38 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,317/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax + insurance: −$357
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$277
• Net cashflow: $-522/mo
• Annual: $-6,268/yr
• Cap rate: 3.57%
• Cash-on-cash: -9.74%
• DSCR: 0.57
• 1% rule: 0.57%
• Cash to close: $64,372

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (40.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (42.7% below list).
• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $132k (42.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#458 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Bleckley County (rural): math 46% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 174 in GA (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Bleckley County Primary School (766 students, 71% FRL); Bleckley Middle School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D+, #97 of 470 statewide, top 22%, 561 students, 52% FRL); Bleckley County High School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #110 of 424 statewide, top 28%, 671 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Bleckley County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Bleckley County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $102k; list at $230k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.