21 bd · 13.3 ba ·
9,221 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 293 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$43,741/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$25,172
Tax + insurance
−$3,809
HOA
−$5,455
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,186
Net cashflow
$120/mo
Annual
$1,439/yr
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.11%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$1,344,000
Investor read
This is a 7 × 3-bed/1.9-bath units multifamily listed at $4.80M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $17/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $4.37M (8.9% below list).
It's been on market 293 days — a 12% lower offer ($4.22M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $4.22M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $188k of equity ($33k loan paydown + $155k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $956k; list at $4.80M implies a 402% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $1.34M cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$305k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 293 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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