2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
845 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,133/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$465
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$448
Net cashflow
$-59/mo
Annual
$-705/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.36%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-705/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (4.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#37 in CT, #2,561 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Wethersfield School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #77 of 153 in CT (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Alfred W. Hanmer School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #195 of 553 statewide, top 37%, 324 students, 32% FRL); Silas Deane Middle School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #69 of 175 statewide, top 39%, 574 students, 30% FRL); Wethersfield High School (math 44% / reading 65%, grade C-, #63 of 194 statewide, top 39%, 1,151 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 14% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $63k; list at $185k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Wethersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29