4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,397 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,199/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$141/mo
Annual
$1,695/yr
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.69%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (7.1% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#703 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Montpelier Exempted Village (rural): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #364 of 656 in OH (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Montpelier High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 325 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $129k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WPSA0EDKT765ES
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29