1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
905 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$648
Net cashflow
$607/mo
Annual
$7,283/yr
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.81%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $261k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#47 in NY, #741 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
East Rockaway Union Free School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #165 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Centre Avenue Elementary School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #675 of 2,108 statewide, top 35%, 256 students, 0% FRL); East Rockaway Junior-Senior High School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade B+, #677 of 1,100 statewide, top 63%, 583 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $176k; list at $265k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.0% in East Rockaway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WPV7QT5DHT2Q0A
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29