None bd · None ba ·
4,054 sqft ·
Built 2023
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 590 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,459
Tax + insurance
−$782
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$924
Net cashflow
$235/mo
Annual
$2,818/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.15%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$131,320
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $469k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $59/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $440k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 590 days — a 12% lower offer ($413k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $413k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $50k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,230 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Sharyland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jessie L Jensen El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 543 students, 88% FRL); Sharyland North J H (math 46% / reading 42%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 806 students, 74% FRL); Sharyland Pioneer H S (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #774 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 1,471 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 55% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 763 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $131k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$81k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.3% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 590 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WPW38H3BYTYVE0
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29