4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,960 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,345/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$372/mo
Annual
$4,470/yr
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
15.98%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 47/100 on livability (#350 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Tunica County School District (rural): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #110 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Tunica Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #296 of 375 statewide, top 82%, 343 students, 100% FRL); Tunica Middle School (math 22% / reading 14%, grade F, #122 of 179 statewide, top 68%, 357 students, 100% FRL); Rosa Fort High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #186 of 197 statewide, top 96%, 447 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Tunica County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tunica County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WQ4J139BNQ68M5
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29