3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
922 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 288 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,568/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$750
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$260/mo
Annual
$3,124/yr
Cap rate
15.76%
Cash-on-cash
33.80%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
4.75%
Cash to close
$9,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $33k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#251 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Ocosta School District (rural): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #196 of 291 in WA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ocosta Elementary School (325 students, 67% FRL); Ocosta Junior - Senior High (243 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 1.4% in Westport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-WQ8B7ZA0W78TXM
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29