2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
913 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Condo
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$797
Tax + insurance
−$309
HOA
−$363
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$372
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-838/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.10%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$42,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $152k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-838/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (8.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in MO, #689 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-.
Brentwood (suburban): math 65% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #4 of 324 in MO (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 20% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $96k; list at $152k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Brentwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WQC1PGDMVAR362
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29