3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,241/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$270
HOA
−$99
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$-957/mo
Annual
$-11,479/yr
Cap rate
2.45%
Cash-on-cash
-13.71%
DSCR
0.39
1% rule
0.42%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-957 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (56.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (58.5% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (58.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#834 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
West Holmes Local (rural): math 60% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #283 of 656 in OH (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: West Holmes Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #266 of 654 statewide, top 41%, 409 students, 35% FRL); West Holmes High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #343 of 781 statewide, top 47%, 540 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 8 units permitted in Holmes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Holmes County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $299k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 58% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29