3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,427 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,383/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,087
Tax + insurance
−$663
HOA
−$69
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$500
Net cashflow
$-936/mo
Annual
$-11,233/yr
Cap rate
3.47%
Cash-on-cash
-10.08%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$111,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $398k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-936 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (34.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (40.1% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#69 in IN, #4,418 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Avon Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #32 of 301 in IN (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Cedar Elementary School (math 63% / reading 40%, grade C-, #256 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 703 students, 51% FRL); Avon Middle School South (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C, #40 of 330 statewide, top 12%, 835 students, 44% FRL); Avon High School (math 44% / reading 76%, grade C+, #46 of 369 statewide, top 13%, 3,348 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 20% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 501 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WS1EFN4MR7ZHB8
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29