2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,041 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 406 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$102
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$530
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$216/mo
Annual
$2,588/yr
Cap rate
19.56%
Cash-on-cash
47.40%
DSCR
3.11
1% rule
5.72%
Cash to close
$5,460
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $17k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $135 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $585 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, crime F, amenities F.
Hunter-Tannersville Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #425 of 755 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 1.6% in Hunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WS4XACB7BY6XHH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29