6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,760 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,852
Tax + insurance
−$2,066
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,045
Net cashflow
$537/mo
Annual
$6,440/yr
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.36%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$472,640
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $1.69M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.45M (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.59M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.45M (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $62k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $51k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#26 in NJ, #713 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Summit Public School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #24 of 472 in NJ (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lincoln-Hubbard Elementary School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #1 of 1,303 statewide, top 0%, 328 students, 3% FRL); Summit High School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B, #34 of 399 statewide, top 8%, 1,161 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,749 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (1,421 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $420k; list at $1.69M implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $473k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$101k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WS5DKZ0YRYXMVE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29