5 bd · 5.5 ba ·
4,293 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,603/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,040
Tax + insurance
−$1,189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$547
Net cashflow
$-1,172/mo
Annual
$-14,069/yr
Cap rate
2.68%
Cash-on-cash
-12.92%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$108,920
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/5.5-bath single-family listed at $389k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (36.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (33.1% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($366k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (36.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Dr Martin Luther King Jr Arts Academy (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 452 students, 93% FRL); Billy Earl Dade Middle (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 636 students, 100% FRL); James Madison H S (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 359 students, 96% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,603/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1464% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WS6W95E5H4NWZ2
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29