414 Sycamore Dr

Riverton, WY 82501

$62,500B

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Built 2008 · Manufactured · Active · 179 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,306/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$328
• Tax + insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$274
• Net cashflow: $652/mo
• Annual: $7,825/yr
• Cap rate: 18.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 44.71%
• DSCR: 2.99
• 1% rule: 2.09%
• Cash to close: $17,500

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
• It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#79 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Fremont County School District #25 (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #36 of 41 in WY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Riverton Middle School (math 32% / reading 49%, grade F, #52 of 55 statewide, top 94%, 541 students, 44% FRL); Riverton High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #56 of 75 statewide, top 76%, 776 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Fremont County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 3.7% in Riverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.