3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,864 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Townhouse
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,165/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$352
HOA
−$53
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$455
Net cashflow
$152/mo
Annual
$1,827/yr
Cap rate
7.12%
Cash-on-cash
2.97%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#42 in FL, #668 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Apollo Elementary School (math 47% / reading 51%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 730 students, 68% FRL); Andrew Jackson Middle School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade C, #259 of 571 statewide, top 46%, 551 students, 58% FRL); Titusville High School (math 33% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,314 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 43% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 462 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 13650% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $220k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WT2H0W0PKG980Q
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29