3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,294/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$297
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$482
Net cashflow
$467/mo
Annual
$5,605/yr
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.01%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Flippen Elementary School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #845 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 570 students, 57% FRL); Eagle'S Landing Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,092 students, 59% FRL); Eagle'S Landing High School (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 1,642 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 682 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $101k; list at $200k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.2% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WV0V6X6E10NYH6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29