4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,475 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,760/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$-61/mo
Annual
$-734/yr
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.25%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-734/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
North Hopkins ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #245 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 382 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WV1CX13RXC0A3A
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29