2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
765 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Manufactured
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,399/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$323
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-285/mo
Annual
$-3,425/yr
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.82%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-285 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (34.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (3.5% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (34.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#950 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, schools F, crime F.
Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $145k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29