215 E Linden Ave

Miamisburg, OH 45342

$649,900B-

4 bd · 1.5 ba · — sqft · Built 1890 · MultiFamily · Pending · 82 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $8,622/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,408
• Tax + insurance: −$1,083
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,811
• Net cashflow: $2,320/mo
• Annual: $27,841/yr
• Cap rate: 10.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.30%
• DSCR: 1.68
• 1% rule: 1.33%
• Cash to close: $181,972

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $650k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $650k).
• It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($611k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $611k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#228 in OH, #3,550 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Miamisburg City (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #338 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Kinder Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #942 of 1,584 statewide, top 61%, 312 students, 58% FRL); Miamisburg Middle School (math 53% / reading 58%, grade B-, #321 of 654 statewide, top 51%, 1,160 students, 44% FRL); Miamisburg High School (math 34% / reading 73%, grade C-, #334 of 781 statewide, top 43%, 1,557 students, 33% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.0% in Miamisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $8,622/mo this rent would consume 122% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 790% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.