2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,088 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,792/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$54
HOA
−$953
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$376
Net cashflow
$68/mo
Annual
$816/yr
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.48%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
2.76%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($816/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.