3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$577/mo
Annual
$6,924/yr
Cap rate
18.88%
Cash-on-cash
44.96%
DSCR
3.00
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#771 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Apollo-Ridge SD (rural): math 23% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #425 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Apollo-Ridge Elem Sch (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #990 of 1,518 statewide, top 66%, 513 students, 100% FRL); Apollo-Ridge Ms (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #412 of 512 statewide, top 81%, 274 students, 100% FRL); Apollo-Ridge Hs (math 62%, 286 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 42% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $6k; list at $55k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WX16NDAGV8842X
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29