3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,091/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$585/mo
Annual
$7,022/yr
Cap rate
23.85%
Cash-on-cash
62.70%
DSCR
3.79
1% rule
2.73%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#193 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Twin Valley (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #53 of 169 in KS (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bennington Junior High/High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #85 of 327 statewide, top 29%, 205 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $31k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WXNHYY6R2M3004
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29