3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
910 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,591/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$359
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-226/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.46%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-226/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (9.0% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Taylor Parks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,185 of 1,397 statewide, top 86%, 326 students, 86% FRL); Robert J West Middle School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 641 students, 68% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29