6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,438 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,361/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$706
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-477/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$109,200
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-477/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $384k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $336k (13.8% below list).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $336k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#210 in NY, #3,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D+, cost of living D.
Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Northeast School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 385 students, 30% FRL); Boynton Middle School (math 36% / reading 64%, grade C, #261 of 729 statewide, top 36%, 526 students, 36% FRL); Ithaca Senior High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,341 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Ithaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,361/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Severe weathering and staining
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt
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