6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,628 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,812/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$450
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$591
Net cashflow
$356/mo
Annual
$4,267/yr
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.64%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $266k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
Trenton Public School District (urban): math 2% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #471 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.3% in Trenton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,812/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Cabinets are not fully installed.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Fixtures and plumbing are incomplete.
Major: Flooring
— Flooring is missing or damaged in several areas.
Major: Interior walls
— Paint is peeling and walls are exposed in some areas.
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown areas need trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WYXENE04JR4NEH
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29