3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,436 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 307 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,132/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,453
Tax + insurance
−$259
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$658
Net cashflow
$763/mo
Annual
$9,154/yr
Cap rate
9.60%
Cash-on-cash
11.80%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$77,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $277k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $277k).
It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $115k; list at $277k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WZ77DP16TKP7MK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29