3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,579 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,611/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$394
HOA
−$410
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$548
Net cashflow
$-315/mo
Annual
$-3,777/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.50%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-315 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (18.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (12.9% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#206 in MN, #4,356 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
St. Michael-Albertville School District (rural): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #17 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fieldstone Elementary School (math 76% / reading 67%, grade A-, #58 of 857 statewide, top 7%, 596 students, 24% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Middle West (math 55% / reading 62%, grade B, #29 of 258 statewide, top 12%, 1,047 students, 21% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Senior High (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #27 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 2,240 students, 17% FRL).
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X0D12F02E0Z5D0
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29