3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,535/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$228/mo
Annual
$2,740/yr
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.15%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (3.4% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#41 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, commute F.
Catoosa County (suburban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Side Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 508 students, 73% FRL); Lakeview Middle School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 690 students, 67% FRL); Lakeview-Fort Oglethorpe High School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #258 of 424 statewide, top 62%, 1,023 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 41% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Catoosa County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 848 units permitted in Catoosa County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Catoosa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in East Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X0HJSA4WDSAV2G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29