2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Other
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,922/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$404
Net cashflow
$1,276/mo
Annual
$15,315/yr
Cap rate
50.05%
Cash-on-cash
156.28%
DSCR
7.95
1% rule
5.49%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $379 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Davis Elementary School (math 40% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 591 students, 78% FRL); Davidsen Middle School (math 50% / reading 49%, grade C, #259 of 571 statewide, top 46%, 1,002 students, 53% FRL); Alonso High School (math 34% / reading 56%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 2,795 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X0SHZDDHK41H20
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29