815 Wilson Ave

Campbell, MO 63933

$124,750C-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,118 sqft · Built 2001 · Other · Active · 175 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,041/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$654
• Tax + insurance: −$82
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$219
• Net cashflow: $86/mo
• Annual: $1,027/yr
• Cap rate: 7.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.94%
• DSCR: 1.13
• 1% rule: 0.83%
• Cash to close: $34,930

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (16.6% below list).
• It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $104k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($862 loan paydown + $499 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#358 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Campbell R-II (rural): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #264 of 324 in MO (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Campbell Elem. (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 292 students, 61% FRL); Campbell High (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 262 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.